Broncos vs Saints NFL Betting Pick and Prediction for 10/17/2024

 

For this Thursday night NFL Week 7 matchup, we have the Denver Broncos heading to New Orleans for a showdown. Given the presence of two rookie quarterbacks and a formidable defense from Denver, bookmakers anticipate a low scoring game. Therefore, the over/under established at a mere 37 points. However, which team will take the win? After a thorough analysis, here is my take with my Broncos vs Saints NFL Betting Pick and analysis.

The Broncos, currently holding a record of 3-3, are fielding rookie quarterback Bo Nix, who is leading a team that ranks among the bottom four in the league for total offense. In their recent game on Sunday, Denver was unable to score in the first three quarters and committed two turnovers, resulting in a 23-16 defeat at home against the Los Angeles Chargers.

In the fourth quarter, Nix connected on touchdown passes to Troy Franklin and Courtland Sutton, while also contributing a team-high 61 rushing yards on six attempts. Devaughn Vele recorded four receptions for 78 yards in the Broncos' losing effort.

The New Orleans Saints began the season with promise but have since been hampered by injuries. Specifically, injuries to quarterbacks Derek Carr (oblique) and Taysom Hill (ribs). After amassing 91 points in their initial two victories, the Saints, now at 2-4, have been outscored 118-76 during a troubling four-game losing streak. In their latest match on Sunday, New Orleans allowed 27 consecutive points in the final 20 minutes, culminating in a 51-27 home loss to Tampa Bay.

Rookie quarterback Spencer Rattler made his debut as a starter in the NFL, throwing a 10-yard touchdown pass to fellow rookie Bub Means. Rattler concluded the game with 243 passing yards but was intercepted twice. For those who will bet on football, know that Alvin Kamara contributed with 40 rushing yards and scored a touchdown from four yards out. On the other hand, Rashid Shaheed electrified the crowd with a 54-yard punt return touchdown for the Saints.

 Why the Denver Broncos Will Win

The Denver Broncos currently hold a record of 3-3 following their recent defeat to the Los Angeles Chargers, with a final score of 23-16. After trailing 23-0 at the end of the third quarter, the Broncos managed to score 16 points in the final quarter, narrowing the margin. In terms of statistics, Denver was outgained 350 yards to 316, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and converted only 3 of 11 attempts on third down.

Quarterback Bo Nix recorded 216 passing yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while wide receiver Devaughn Vele made four receptions for 78 yards.

In addition to their losses against Seattle and Pittsburgh, the Broncos have secured victories over Tampa Bay, Las Vegas, and the New York Jets. The Denver offense averages 18.7 points per game, with 170.8 passing yards and 107.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has permitted an average of 16 points per game this season.

The team has achieved a 25% conversion rate on third downs and a 7-9 record on fourth downs over the first six games. Bo Nix has completed 61.1% of his passes, totaling 1,082 yards, five touchdowns, and five interceptions, while running back Javonte Williams has accumulated 213 rushing yards.

Why the Miami Saints Will Win

The New Orleans Saints currently hold a record of 2-4 for the season following their defeat to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, which ended with a score of 51-27 last week. Despite overcoming an initial 17-0 deficit in the first quarter, the Saints were unable to maintain momentum, resulting in a significant loss.

The team was outgained by the Buccaneers, with total yardage of 594 to 303, and while they managed to equalize the turnover count at three, they struggled on third down, converting only 4 of 13 attempts. Quarterback Spencer Rattler recorded 243 passing yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while running back Alvin Kamara contributed with 40 rushing yards and one touchdown.

According to pay per head sportsbooks, the Saints began the season positively, securing victories against Carolina and Dallas. However, the rest of the season was not as good. This is due to several against Philadelphia, Atlanta, and Kansas City. The New Orleans offense has averaged 27.8 points per game, with 200.3 yards through the air and 119.5 yards on the ground, while the defense has permitted an average of 24.5 points per game.

So far, the Saints have achieved a 47.1% success rate on third downs and have converted 2 of 6 fourth down attempts this season. Spencer Rattler has completed 55% of his passes, totaling 243 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Alvin Kamara has amassed 428 rushing yards and six touchdowns.

Denver Broncos vs New Orlean Saints Game Info

·         Date and Time: 10/17/2024 at 8:15 PM ET

·         Location: Caesars Superdome

·         Watch on: NBA, NFL+, Amazon Prime

Bills vs Dolphins NFL Betting odds

Team	Pointspread	Total	MoneyLine
Denver Broncos	+2.5 (+105)	O36.5 (-110)	-138
New Orlean Saints	-2.5 (-115)	U36.5 (-110)	+118

 Thursday Night Football NFL Preseason Pick Betting Pick

Bet on the Denver Broncos at +2.5

New Orleans wide receiver Chris Olave exited the game on Sunday due to a concussion and is expected to be unavailable for this matchup. The Denver Broncos currently hold the fourth position in the NFL for total defense, while the New Orleans Saints are at the bottom of that ranking.

It is advisable to predict a rebound for Denver, leading to a victory on the road. Therefore, the Broncos will take the win and cover the spread with a final score of 22-15.

In addition, looking at these odds, it would be wise to choose an online sportsbook wisely. This is because as the game gets closer, I expect to see a lot of line shifting.

Baseball Betting Tips: How to Use MLB Betting Trends

According to some, betting Trends are often sought after by those who bet on baseball. Furthermore, while MLB betting trends can add value to a handicapping routine, many betting trends are often misleading. Today, we go over How to Use MLB Betting Trends and which ones to use to increase profits.

The first thing to do when reviewing MLB betting trends is to discard the ones that don’t make any sense. This is because these baseball betting trends, while accurate, are more of a fluke than anything else. Therefore, sports bettors cannot trust them to return the same winning percentage over a longer period of time.

How to Use MLB Betting Trends

For those wanting to become a baseball bookie, it is important to understand the importance of trends. This is because trends that involve a specific day of the week – like a team going 10-2 on Wednesdays - doesn’t have the same impact as an NFL trend relating to Thursday or Monday night games – as those games involve teams playing with an unusual amount of rest in between games.

Stay away from is a trend that has only a few occurrences with a record that goes back several years. With the amount of roster turnover that happens every season, these MLB betting trends are based on games where many of the current players weren’t a part of.

A good baseball betting system will include Sports Betting trends that we do like are ones that pertain to certain situations. For example, finding a betting trend that pertains to a team coming off a loss or two straight losses, or against left-handed starting pitchers. These are specific in-game motivational or matchup situations that MLB handicappers would want to find out information about.

MLB betting trends that relate to pitchers (often in the form of team start records) are much more reliable. Especially in comparison to team-based betting trends, as it pertains to the most important position on the field. Having specific betting trends related to the starting pitcher against the current opponent is a fantastic place to start your handicapping your baseball betting pick on the game.

Of course, win/loss records associated to betting trends must be taken with a grain of salt. If a team is 20-20 as an underdog of +150 or higher, and another team is 30-20 as a favorite of -150 or higher, then the underdog trend is resulting in a big profit while the favorite trend is actually losing money.

For baseball Betting fans, the same rule applies as baseball betting trends are universal no matter what baseball sportsbook you use.

How to Bet Correlated Parlays

For those that like to bet on sports, correlated parlays are the ideal betting concept. This is because they typically have a positive long-term outlook. Therefore, if you consistently placed these bets, you would guarantee a profit. Thus, this sports betting tutorial will teach you How to Bet Correlated Parlays to increase your betting profits.

According to gambling experts, correlated parlays are like a machine that always prints money. However, finding and betting on these parlays is very challenging. Usually, anything that seems too good to be true is. This is because sportsbooks are a lot smarter these days and always look for anything that will decrease their profits. It’s the evolution of sports betting.

Let's first define what we're talking about. What is a correlated parlay and how do we bet correlated parlays?

What Is a Correlated Parlay?

As a sports bettor, we should understand that a parlay is a group of bets wagered as a single bet. Each of the individual bets must win in order for the parlay to win.

The idea behind a correlated parlay is to group bets that go together. If one of the things happens, then the other is likely to occur. An example better explains this concept.

Take an NBA basketball game, for example. Let’s say you have Celtics favored over the hawks. The Celtics are a 15-point favorite. The game total is set at 40. This doesn’t happen often, which is one reason why basketball betting is so hard.

If you are betting on the Celtics to cover at a bookie pay per head sportsbook, it would make sense that the game total goes Over. There is a better than average chance if Hawks covers the pointspread they are going to score a bunch of points in the process.

A smart bettor could parlay the two bets - Celtics -15, Over 40 - and win a higher profit than if the two were wagered separately. That’s how you bet correlated parlays.

Bet Correlated Parlays for Long-Term Profits

To bet correlated parlays and ensure long-term profits, you have to understand some basic math. Otherwise, there is a good chance that you will lose your wager. Thus, it is understandable as to why bookies would have parlays available in their basic sportsbook software.

There are four possible outcomes when you wager on a two-event parlay.

·         Win both

·         Lose first, Win second

·         Lose second, Win first

·         Lose both

The probability of winning the parlay is 25 percent (1 in 4). If the sports betting odds on either side of a point spread bet are set properly, there should be an even chance of a win or loss. That means each outcome here has a 25 percent probability.

Accordingly, to show a profit here you would need to get odds of +300 (3/1) or better to break even. Two-team parlays usually payout at +260 (2.6/1) and are usually not a great bet because you lose money in the long-term.

The change in odds with Correlated Parlays

However, when you bet correlated parlays, the percentages change. Let’s say in our Celtics versus Hawks example there is still an even chance of ending up on either side of the spread. However, if the favorite covers, the total is much more likely to go Over.

The Celtics would have to cover by 16 points. There aren’t that many scores where Celtics win by 16 and the total goes Under. As a result, we might find that there is an 80 percent chance the game total goes Over. Make sure you have a top-tier sportsbook to find the best lines.

Overall, this would mean that there is a 40 percent chance that the game will go Over and the favorite will cover. That means that 40 percent of the time you parlay the favorite and the over you are going to win.

If you made a $100 parlay bet 10 times, you would expect to win four of them. The total profit on those wins would be $1040 ($260 x 4). The six losses would cost you a total of $600. That means your profit would be $440.

BetPhoenix.ag Sportsbook Review

BetPhoenix.ag is a popular sportsbook that has been in business since 2006. In addition, they are best known for catering to the North American sports betting market.  They have extensive experience in the global gambling industry because they offer their services in several languages.  My BetPhoenix.ag Betting Review will go into details about the advantages and disadvantages using their gambling services.

Even though they offer generous bonuses, players feel safe betting on sports with them because of their strong financial backing. Furthermore, they also have a wide array of seasonal contests and promotions ranging from sports betting to casinos. As an offshore sportsbook, several sportsbook reviews consider them to be one of the best in the industry.

This sports betting company is in San Jose, Costa Rica and is the flagship company of BetPhoenix Entertainment.  Thus, they have several other sports betting brands which include BetMania.ag, SkyBook.eu and BetLatina.com.

Bet Phoenix General Information

BetPhoenix.ag Information: Inception: 2006 Country: Costa Rica Restrictions: Costa Rica, UK Live Chat: yes Email: memberservices@betphoenix.ag Telephone: 1-877-717-7747 Website: betphoenix.ag Korean Players Accepted: yes Regular Bonus: 200% Bonus

BetPhoenix.ag Advantages Sports betting on all major sports Digital casino  Live Dealer Casino Live Betting Mobile Betting 25% referral bonus Free payouts Seasonal contests Online poker room

BetPhoenix.ag Sportsbook Review

BetPhoenix.ag has the typical North American style template with big bold letters that advertises their latest promotion. Opening a betting account with them is fairly fast and easy because they only ask for the necessary information. One of the biggest attractions for using this sports betting company are their bonuses.  This is because you can get up to a 175% free play bonuses or choose a 100% cash bonuses.

One of the advantages of using the BetPhoenix.ag Sports Betting website is that they offer several banking options. The available deposit options include: person-to-person, Credit Cards, Bitcoin, LiteCoin and MGPAY.

The player betting interface is simple enough to use and the sports betting software is very interactive.  However, Korean bettors will probably not be comfortable with it until they get familiar with the interface.  This is because the interface is not available in Korean and the setup is different from other Asian betting websites.

Furthermore, they have many betting options and you can bet on most sports leagues from around the world. Keep in mind that if you are a casino player, the digital casino is not very good as it does not have many games.  However, the live dealer casino is pretty good and has no lag.

BetPhoenix.ag Recommendation

In terms of all around sports betting website they are an excellent choice. This is because they have excellent sports betting odds from all over the world. Bettors that like to receive a little extra will love their bonuses and contests.

Bet on Sports Today with BetPhoenix.ag and get up to 175% in Free Play!

Winning Betting strategies

 

Sports betting is a hobby that many people enjoy to make the game more fun and exciting. However, some bettors tend to do better than others when it comes to making a profit from it. For those who constantly see their friends win their bets while you lose yours, this article is for you. In this sports betting tutorial, we teach you the most Profitable Winning Betting Strategies to increase your betting win ratio.

Making money wagering on sports is not easy, but it can be done. The proof is that thousands of professional gamblers make a living from it doing just that. However, like anything else in life, being successful at sports betting takes some time and effort. In addition, it also helps to have a plan and a strategy.

Most Profitable Winning Betting Strategies

Successful gamblers use winning betting strategies as part of their plan to make a profit. Whether you are a beginner or have experience as a sports gambler, you can benefit from winning betting strategies.

Do Your Research

Gamblers cannot bet on sports at random and expect to win. Professional gamblers all do a lot of research before placing a wager. For example, If a star player is on the injury list, it will probably have an effect on the outcome of a game. Therefore, it is in your best interest to be constantly reading the latest sports news and statistics.

However, that is just the beginning. The more research you do, the bigger your chance of winning. Therefore, you should also study different trends, analyze past games and come up with a sound betting decision. Make sure there is value in a pick before you make it. If there is no value, don’t make the wager.

In addition, be careful when live betting. There is a reason why sportsbooks have a huge number of live betting options. In fact, even pay per head companies compete with each other for boasting the most numbers of live wagers. However, be careful as they can be sucker bets and drain your bankroll in a hurry.

Manage Correctly Your Betting bankroll

While this may be obvious, do not gamble with money you cannot afford to lose. We are talking about gambling with your rent money, grocery money and such. Instead, set aside an amount of money you can afford to lost and stick to it.

A solid money management strategy is to wager 1 to 5 percent of your bankroll and no more. That means that if your have a $1,000 bankroll, all of your bets will range from $10 to $50.

Even when you are certain about a certain wager and want to risk more, do not do it. You stick to the strategy. Your max bet is $50. When you are less confident on a bet, your minimum amount is $10.

One of the worst things you can do is to chase your losses by betting more after losing a bet. Your bankroll will be gone before you know. Stick to a sound money management strategy.

Look for the Best Betting odds

In essence, the easiest betting strategy is to look for the best betting odds. If you like a bet and can find it at a better price, why not take it?

Maybe you like the San Francisco 49ers at  -112. Another top sportsbook has the same moneyline bet at -106. Instead of paying $112 to win $100, you only need to lay out $106.

If you are betting the point spread, just a half-point can make a big difference. If you take the SK Knights -2, it would be a bonus if you were able to find them at -1.5. Now a one-point margin of victory guarantees a win instead of a push.

Over the course of an entire season, shopping for the best lines can make a big difference in both a bettor’s winning percentage and his bankroll. Winning sports bettors employ this strategy.

Open a Sportsbook with PricePerPlayer.com for $5 or Less per player