Tonight’s NFL
Thursday game will be a fun one to watch as the Dolphins host the Bills at the
Hard Rock Stadium. There is a lot of money on Miami as they will have the home
advantage but the Bills are no pushover. Therefore, which team will win this
AFC East showdown? Here is my take on it with my Bills vs Dolphins NFL Betting
Pick and analysis.
According to NFL sportsbooks, the Buffalo Bills took a hit after the departure of wide receiver Stefon Diggs during the offseason. Thus, they are now implementing a committee strategy to maintain their status as one of the premier offenses in the league.
Last Sunday, they
came back from a deficit after scoring 14 consecutive points after halftime. Thus, securing a 34-28 victory at home against
the Arizona Cardinals.
In this match,
All-Pro quarterback Josh Allen demonstrated remarkable efficiency, completing
18 of 23 passes for 232 yards and two touchdowns. This is in addition o
contributing 39 rushing yards and two additional touchdowns. Rookie wide
receiver Keon Coleman led the team with 51 receiving yards on four catches, as
the Bills outperformed the Cardinals with a total yardage of 352 to 270.
Last season, the
Miami Dolphins topped the league in total offense but faced disappointment in a
26-7 Wild Card defeat against Kansas City. In their season opener, however,
Miami's defense excelled, achieving a shutout in the second half of a 20-17
victory at home against Jacksonville. The Dolphins successfully converted 8 of
16 third down opportunities and amassed 400 total offensive yards.
All-Pro wide
receiver Tyreek Hill was a standout performer, recording seven receptions for
130 yards, including an 80-yard touchdown that narrowed Miami's deficit to
17-14. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa effectively dismantled the Jacksonville
secondary, throwing for 338 yards. Jason Sanders capped off the game with a
52-yard field goal as time expired, securing the win for the Dolphins.
Why the Buffalo Bills Will Win
Their recent games
have showcased significant offensive activity, with five of the last six
encounters resulting in totals that have exceeded expectations, likely
appealing to those who engage in over/under betting.
The visiting team
has emerged victorious in the last seven Week 2 contests involving the
Dolphins. Furthermore, the Dolphins have suffered defeats in seven of their
previous eight Week 2 home matches.
Additionally, they
have not managed to cover the spread in their last four games. Notably, the
visiting team has successfully covered the spread in six out of the last seven
Week 2 games featuring the Dolphins.
Why the Miami Dolphins Will Win
Miami's betting
patterns reveal certain weaknesses, notably their 1-4 record against the spread
in the past five games. Nevertheless, their home performance remains a
significant factor. The total has fallen UNDER in five of their last six
contests, suggesting a robust defensive effort at their home venue, which may
be crucial in this upcoming matchup.
The Dolphins have achieved victory in their last ten matches as home
favorites against teams from the AFC East. Conversely, the Bills have suffered
defeats in three out of their last four encounters in Florida. Additionally,
the Dolphins have successfully covered the spread in seven of their previous
eight games as home favorites against AFC East rivals. In contrast, the Bills
have not managed to cover the spread in four of their last five games played at
Hard Rock Stadium after securing a win at home.
Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Game Info
·
Date and Time: 09/12/2024 at 8:15 PM ET
·
Location: Hard Rock Stadium
·
Watch on: MARQ, Bally Sports
Bills vs Dolphins NFL Betting odds
|
Team |
Pointspread |
Total |
MoneyLine |
|
Buffalo Bills |
+2.5 (+105) |
O48.5 (-110) |
+120 |
|
Miami Dolphins |
-2.5 (-115) |
U48.5 (-110) |
-142 |
Thursday Night Football NFL Preseason Pick Betting Pick
Bet on the Buffalo Bills at +2.5
For those thinking
of Opening
an NFL sportsbook, this could be a good opportunity to go against the
spread. This is because the public opinion is in favor of the Dolphins despite what
the statistics say.
Miami linebacker Bradley Chubb, who is dealing with a knee
injury, has been assigned to the reserve/PUP list and will not be able to
return until October 6th. Last season, the Dolphins finished sixth in the
league for rushing yards; however, they only accumulated 81 rushing yards in
their season opener. Therefore, the Bills will take the win and cover the
spread with a final score of 27-20.
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