Bengals vs Chargers NFL Betting Pick and Prediction for 11/17/2024

 

For Week 10 of the 2024-25 NFL season, I am looking at the Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Chargers matchup. The Bengals come into this game with a record of 4-6 this season while the Chargers have a 6-4 record. Can the Bengals overcome their losing record or will the Chargers prevail? Here is my analysis of this matchup with my Bengals vs Chargers NFL Betting Pick and prediction!

While the Chargers are the favorite team to win with a -116 money line, the public seems to think otherwise. This has led the bookie pay Per Head Software to increase the Vig on the Bengals’ pointspread to -115. Therefore, the game will be very close and bettors are not confident that they Charges can cover.

The Chargers currently hold the 19th position in terms of points scored this season, averaging 20.7 points per game. However, their defensive performance has been exceptional, as they lead the NFL by allowing only 13.1 points per game. On the offensive front, the Bengals are performing well, averaging 27 points per game, which places them sixth in the league. Conversely, they rank 26th in defensive statistics, permitting an average of 26.2 points per game.

Why the Cincinnati Bengals Will Win

The Cincinnati Bengals continue their road journey this week, having secured four victories in ten games. This is despite a close one-point defeat to the Baltimore Ravens during Thursday Night Football.

According to football betting stats, offensively, Cincinnati performed exceptionally well, amassing 470 total yards and scoring 34 points. However, they committed one turnover and were unsuccessful in a two-point conversion attempt at the game's conclusion, which contributed to their loss. On the defensive side, Cincinnati faced challenges, allowing 35 points, including 21 in the fourth quarter, while conceding a total of 389 yards.

Joe Burrow is at the helm of the Cincinnati offense this season, having amassed 2,672 passing yards and 24 touchdowns through 246 completions. Chase Brown stands out as the leading rusher, accumulating 521 yards and five touchdowns on 118 attempts. Ja’Marr Chase is the team's primary receiver, recording 981 yards and 10 touchdowns from 66 receptions. Mike Gesicki follows closely, contributing 383 yards and two touchdowns on 34 catches.

The Bengals have accumulated a total of 3,445 yards this season. As a team, Cincinnati has achieved 141 first downs and has been penalized 44 times, resulting in a loss of 358 yards. They have turned the ball over on 10 occasions, comprising 4 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost. In terms of scoring, the Bengals have recorded 24 passing touchdowns and 8 rushing touchdowns.

Currently, the Bengals rank 26th in the NFL regarding points allowed, giving up an average of 26.2 points per game. Opponents are averaging 4.2 yards per carry and 127.3 rushing yards per game this season, leading to a total of 1,273 rushing yards allowed over 10 games. In terms of passing defense, theyallow an average of 220.2 passing yards per game and have a completion percentage against of 65.9%. Overall, they have permitted an average of 347.5 yards per game, ranking 23rd in the NFL, and have given up 17 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing touchdowns.

Why the Los Angeles Chargers Will Win

The Los Angeles Chargers will play at home this week, having secured six victories in nine games and currently enjoying a three-game winning streak, following a ten-point triumph over the Tennessee Titans last week. On the defensive side, Los Angeles excelled, allowing fewer than 300 yards and just 17 points, which contributed significantly to their success. Offensively, the team performed well, scoring a total of 27 points, including 14 in the second half, while accumulating 309 total yards.

Justin Herbert was instrumental for Los Angeles, completing 14 passes for 164 yards and one touchdown. Gus Edwards led the team in rushing with 55 yards on 10 carries, while JK Dobbins added 50 yards on 15 attempts. Ladd McConkey was the top receiver, amassing 52 yards on two receptions. Quentin Johnston contributed with two catches for 24 yards and one touchdown, and Joshua Palmer recorded 36 yards on a single reception, making him the second-highest yardage contributor on the team.

The Los Angeles Chargers average 314.3 yards per game, placing them 22nd in the NFL. Their offense has incurred 361 penalty yards from 48 infractions, ranking them 29th in the league in terms of penalties that benefit opposing teams.

Defensively, they have allowed 9 passing touchdowns and an average of 191.6 passing yards per game, positioning them 9th in the league. Additionally, the Chargers have surrendered a total of 995 rushing yards (110.6 yards per game) and 3 rushing touchdowns this season. They have recorded 13 takeaways, consisting of 4 fumble recoveries and 9 interceptions. The Chargers' defense has been involved in 531 plays, which ranks 5th in the NFL. They are currently allowing an average of 13.1 points per game, placing them at the top of the league.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Chargers Game Info

·         Date and Time: 11/17/2024 at 8:20 PM ET

·         Location: SoFi Stadium

·         Watch on: NBA, NFL+, Paramount+, Peaccock

Bengals vs Chargers NFL Betting odds

Team	Pointspread	Total	MoneyLine
Cincinnati Bengals	+1.5 (-115)	O46.5 (-115)	-102
Los Angeles Chargers	-1.5 (-105)	U46.5 (-105)	-116

 Bengals vs Chargers NFL Betting Pick

Bet on the Los Angeles Chargers at -1.5

The Chargers are the superior team in this matchup and maintain aspirations for the playoffs. Thus, it would be a good NFL Betting strategy to bet on them. Anticipate that Los Angeles will continue their momentum against a Bengals squad that has faced difficulties throughout the season.

This week, select the Chargers to perform effectively at home, resulting in both a victory and a successful cover. Therefore, the Los Angeles Chargers will take the win and cover the spread with a final score of 27-13.