Rams vs Bills NFL Betting Pick and Prediction for 12/08/2024

 

For Week 14 of the 2024-25 NFL season the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams matchup is looking good. Everyone except diehard Rams fans believe the Bills will defeat the Los Angeles Chargers. However, is it a good bet and can the underdog pull off an upset? Here is my analysis of this matchup with my Rams vs Bills NFL Betting Pick and prediction!

pay per head sportsbooks and bookmakers all have the Bills as the favorite team with a -198 money line. However, some bookies have been shifting the pointspread from 4.5 to 3.5 because of public opinion. Hence, those that were able to get an earlier pointspread were in luck. It is true hat the spread is not very high but it is not stopping sportsbooks from keeping a high money line on the Bills.

For the Rams, this matchup is especially important. This is because with a 6-6 record this season, they still have a chance to win the NFC West crown. In addition, they need the win to secure an NFL Wild Card spot.

Why the Buffalo Bills Will Win

The Buffalo Bills enter the field with an impressive record of 10-2 for the current season. In their most recent game, they faced the San Francisco 49ers, securing a decisive victory with a final score of 35-10. Quarterback Josh Allen completed 13 of 17 passes, accumulating 148 yards and throwing 2 touchdown passes, achieving a quarterback rating of 141.3 without any interceptions.

Khalil Shakir contributed significantly, averaging 7.5 yards per reception with a total of 30 yards on 4 catches. James Cook led the rushing attack for the Bills, carrying the ball 14 times for 107 yards, which translates to an impressive 7.6 yards per carry.

Throughout the game, the Bills executed 56 plays, resulting in a total of 372 yards. They ran the ball 38 times, amassing 220 yards and averaging 5.8 yards per carry. On the defensive side, the Bills allowed 153 yards on 27 rushing attempts, averaging 5.7 yards per carry. In terms of pass defense, Buffalo permitted 11 completions on 18 attempts for 86 yards, yielding a completion percentage of 61.1%.

Buffalo's offensive performance remains impressive, with an average of 29.6 points per game, placing them second in the league. Quarterback Josh Allen plays a crucial role, having accumulated 2,691 passing yards, 20 touchdowns, and only five interceptions.

According to GetSportsMedia.org, the Buffalo's defense stands out as one of the premier units in the league. This is because they only allow an average of only 18.7 points per game. Furthermore, it ranks as the sixth-best in the NFL. The Bills have recorded 28 sacks and 13 interceptions, showcasing their capacity to hinder rival offenses effectively. They are positioned eighth in passing defense and have shown resilience against the run, conceding 121.9 yards per game. Although injuries to players such as DeWayne Carter and Tommy Doyle may challenge their depth, this defensive unit continues to be a formidable force.

Why the Los Angeles Rams Will Win

Top football handicapping experts (Like me) sat the Rams have shown significant progress on both offense and defense. This is especially true on on the offensive side. Of course, a lot of it comes from the return of Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua to the lineup. Presently, the Rams rank 11th in EPA per drive and 12th in offensive success rate. This achievement underscores McVay's exceptional coaching ability, as Los Angeles boasts the top offense in the NFL in terms of early down success rate, despite facing numerous injuries during the season.

The Los Angeles Rams depend significantly on the capabilities of Matthew Stafford, who has accumulated 2,983 passing yards, along with 17 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Leading the receiving corps is Cooper Kupp, who has achieved 565 receiving yards and five touchdowns, while Kyren Williams contributes to the ground game with 926 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns.

Despite moments of impressive performance, the Rams' offense averages 21.2 points per game, placing them 20th in the NFL. Thus, it indicates a lack of consistency in their execution. In such cases, it is important for bookies to strategically prevent public opinion betting to run rampant in their sportsbook. This is because it could throw the odds one way making it difficult to even out.

On the defensive side, the Rams encounter difficulties, surrendering an average of 24.2 points per game, which ranks them 21st in the league. Their struggle to contain the run, allowing 144.1 rushing yards per game, has proven to be a significant weakness. Although they have managed to record 28 sacks and 10 interceptions, their challenges in critical situations have been apparent.

Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams Game Info

·         Date and Time: 12/08/2024 at 4:25 PM ET

·         Location: SoFi Stadium

·         Watch on: Fox Sports, NFL+, FUBO, YouTube TV

Bengals vs Chargers NFL Betting odds

Team	Pointspread	Total	MoneyLine
Buffalo Bills	-3.5.5 (-115)	O49.5 (-105)	-198
Los Angeles Rams	+3.5 (-105)	U46.5 (-115)	+166

 Bills vs Rams NFL Betting Pick

Bet on the Buffalo Bills at -3.5

Buffalo's exceptional offensive effectiveness, combined with their robust defensive strengths, offers a distinct advantage in this contest. The Rams' difficulties in defending against the run may create opportunities for James Cook to excel, while Josh Allen's accuracy will pose significant challenges for the Los Angeles defense. Therefore, the Buffalo Bills will be victorious and cover the spread with a final score of 31-20.