Royals vs Guardians MLB Betting Pick and Prediction for 08/28/2024

 

We are now entering the time of the year where the MLB season is starting to get very interesting. As proof, lets take a look at this afternoon’s MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and the Cleveland Guardians. Both teams have the same record of 75-58 meaning they both need to win this game. Thus, here is my take on what will happen with my Royals vs Guardians MLB Betting Pick, prediction and analysis.

This baseball matchup, will take place at Progressive Field giving the Guardians the home advantage. Will this be enough to beat the Royals? According to online sportsbooks, it will be enough as they are the favorite to win with a -142 money line. Interestingly enough the odds set by bookies are not as bad as I had thought against the Royals. For those who understand how a sportsbook pay per head works, it does make sense because of the public betting supporting the Royals.

However, Kansas City has consistently outperformed Cleveland. Especially since they have performing very well of lates resulting in a significant rise in their standings. Therefore, they are entering this matchup with a positive momentum, as evidenced by a recent series that highlights their capabilities. Last but not least, Tanner Bibee will take the mound for the Guardians while Kansas City will counter with Michael Wacha.

On the other hand, the Guardians have not met expectations this season. However, there remain aspects of their performance where they exhibit strong competitiveness. The team's batting average stands at a modest .237. In addition, they have managed to score just 600 runs, indicating a need for enhancing their offensive. Nevertheless, their pitching staff has kept them competitive in numerous contests, boasting a commendable 3.82 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP.

Why the Kansas City Royals will Win

The Royals (75-58) have achieved victory in eight of their last eleven contests, resulting in a tie for first place with Cleveland. In last night's game, third baseman Paul DeJong contributed significantly by hitting a two-run home run in the second inning, leading Kansas City to a 6-1 triumph on the road.

Michael Wacha, serving as the starting pitcher for the Royals, is one of the most reliable players on the roster. With a commendable ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.2 over 133 innings pitched this season, Wacha's effectiveness is underscored. This is due to his limited number of walks, totaling just 38, alongside an impressive 113 strikeouts. 

However, he is expected to continue this role, aiming to maintain the Royals' elevated performance. This moment could prove crucial in the context of the game. Thus, counting on him could be part of an excellent baseball betting strategy when he is on the mound.

Why the Guardians will Win

The Guardians faced the Texas Rangers during their weekend series. It was a complete sweep over the Rangers with a 5-3, 13-3, and 4-2 wins. However, in the Tuesday game against Kansas City, the Guardians conceded three runs in the seventh inning and were unable to mount a comeback. Starting pitcher Gavin Williams completed 5.0 innings, allowing two earned runs.

The Guardians will entrust the series finale on Wednesday to one of their most reliable pitchers, Tanner Bibee. For those who want to become a bookie, this is one pitcher to watch out for when bettors make player prop bets. This is because this season, Bibee has achieved a record of 10-6 over 25 starts, which includes eight quality outings. 

He currently holds an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.10, having surrendered 16 home runs. Throughout 138 innings pitched, Bibee has permitted 119 hits, while recording 150 strikeouts and issuing 33 walks. In his most recent appearance, a 5-3 defeat against the Rangers, he pitched 5.2 innings, allowing eight hits and four runs, while striking out six batters.

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Game Info

·         Date and Time: 08/28/2024 at 1:10 PM ET

·         Location: Progressive Field

·         Watch on: Bally Sports, FUBO

Royals vs Guardians MLB Betting odds

Team	Pointspread	Total	MoneyLine
Kansas City Royals	-1.5 (-188)	O8 (-110)	+120
Cleveland Guardians	+1.5 (+155)	U8 (-110)	-142

 Royals vs Guardians MLB Betting Pick

Bet on the Kansas City Royals at +120

Hunter Renfroe of the Kansas City Royals has been placed on the 10-day injured list due to a right hamstring strain. After 133 games, the Royals are currently positioned 10th in OPS and 5th in total runs scored.

In contrast, the Cleveland team holds the 18th position in OPS and ranks 12th in runs scored for the season. I predict the Royals will win with a final score of 5-3.

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