Broncos vs Saints NFL Betting Pick and Prediction for 10/17/2024

 

For this Thursday night NFL Week 7 matchup, we have the Denver Broncos heading to New Orleans for a showdown. Given the presence of two rookie quarterbacks and a formidable defense from Denver, bookmakers anticipate a low scoring game. Therefore, the over/under established at a mere 37 points. However, which team will take the win? After a thorough analysis, here is my take with my Broncos vs Saints NFL Betting Pick and analysis.

The Broncos, currently holding a record of 3-3, are fielding rookie quarterback Bo Nix, who is leading a team that ranks among the bottom four in the league for total offense. In their recent game on Sunday, Denver was unable to score in the first three quarters and committed two turnovers, resulting in a 23-16 defeat at home against the Los Angeles Chargers.

In the fourth quarter, Nix connected on touchdown passes to Troy Franklin and Courtland Sutton, while also contributing a team-high 61 rushing yards on six attempts. Devaughn Vele recorded four receptions for 78 yards in the Broncos' losing effort.

The New Orleans Saints began the season with promise but have since been hampered by injuries. Specifically, injuries to quarterbacks Derek Carr (oblique) and Taysom Hill (ribs). After amassing 91 points in their initial two victories, the Saints, now at 2-4, have been outscored 118-76 during a troubling four-game losing streak. In their latest match on Sunday, New Orleans allowed 27 consecutive points in the final 20 minutes, culminating in a 51-27 home loss to Tampa Bay.

Rookie quarterback Spencer Rattler made his debut as a starter in the NFL, throwing a 10-yard touchdown pass to fellow rookie Bub Means. Rattler concluded the game with 243 passing yards but was intercepted twice. For those who will bet on football, know that Alvin Kamara contributed with 40 rushing yards and scored a touchdown from four yards out. On the other hand, Rashid Shaheed electrified the crowd with a 54-yard punt return touchdown for the Saints.

 Why the Denver Broncos Will Win

The Denver Broncos currently hold a record of 3-3 following their recent defeat to the Los Angeles Chargers, with a final score of 23-16. After trailing 23-0 at the end of the third quarter, the Broncos managed to score 16 points in the final quarter, narrowing the margin. In terms of statistics, Denver was outgained 350 yards to 316, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and converted only 3 of 11 attempts on third down.

Quarterback Bo Nix recorded 216 passing yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while wide receiver Devaughn Vele made four receptions for 78 yards.

In addition to their losses against Seattle and Pittsburgh, the Broncos have secured victories over Tampa Bay, Las Vegas, and the New York Jets. The Denver offense averages 18.7 points per game, with 170.8 passing yards and 107.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has permitted an average of 16 points per game this season.

The team has achieved a 25% conversion rate on third downs and a 7-9 record on fourth downs over the first six games. Bo Nix has completed 61.1% of his passes, totaling 1,082 yards, five touchdowns, and five interceptions, while running back Javonte Williams has accumulated 213 rushing yards.

Why the Miami Saints Will Win

The New Orleans Saints currently hold a record of 2-4 for the season following their defeat to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, which ended with a score of 51-27 last week. Despite overcoming an initial 17-0 deficit in the first quarter, the Saints were unable to maintain momentum, resulting in a significant loss.

The team was outgained by the Buccaneers, with total yardage of 594 to 303, and while they managed to equalize the turnover count at three, they struggled on third down, converting only 4 of 13 attempts. Quarterback Spencer Rattler recorded 243 passing yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while running back Alvin Kamara contributed with 40 rushing yards and one touchdown.

According to pay per head sportsbooks, the Saints began the season positively, securing victories against Carolina and Dallas. However, the rest of the season was not as good. This is due to several against Philadelphia, Atlanta, and Kansas City. The New Orleans offense has averaged 27.8 points per game, with 200.3 yards through the air and 119.5 yards on the ground, while the defense has permitted an average of 24.5 points per game.

So far, the Saints have achieved a 47.1% success rate on third downs and have converted 2 of 6 fourth down attempts this season. Spencer Rattler has completed 55% of his passes, totaling 243 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Alvin Kamara has amassed 428 rushing yards and six touchdowns.

Denver Broncos vs New Orlean Saints Game Info

·         Date and Time: 10/17/2024 at 8:15 PM ET

·         Location: Caesars Superdome

·         Watch on: NBA, NFL+, Amazon Prime

Bills vs Dolphins NFL Betting odds

Team	Pointspread	Total	MoneyLine
Denver Broncos	+2.5 (+105)	O36.5 (-110)	-138
New Orlean Saints	-2.5 (-115)	U36.5 (-110)	+118

 Thursday Night Football NFL Preseason Pick Betting Pick

Bet on the Denver Broncos at +2.5

New Orleans wide receiver Chris Olave exited the game on Sunday due to a concussion and is expected to be unavailable for this matchup. The Denver Broncos currently hold the fourth position in the NFL for total defense, while the New Orleans Saints are at the bottom of that ranking.

It is advisable to predict a rebound for Denver, leading to a victory on the road. Therefore, the Broncos will take the win and cover the spread with a final score of 22-15.

In addition, looking at these odds, it would be wise to choose an online sportsbook wisely. This is because as the game gets closer, I expect to see a lot of line shifting.