Tuesday, October 8, 2024

Baseball Betting Tips: How to Use MLB Betting Trends

According to some, betting Trends are often sought after by those who bet on baseball. Furthermore, while MLB betting trends can add value to a handicapping routine, many betting trends are often misleading. Today, we go over How to Use MLB Betting Trends and which ones to use to increase profits.

The first thing to do when reviewing MLB betting trends is to discard the ones that don’t make any sense. This is because these baseball betting trends, while accurate, are more of a fluke than anything else. Therefore, sports bettors cannot trust them to return the same winning percentage over a longer period of time.

How to Use MLB Betting Trends

For those wanting to become a baseball bookie, it is important to understand the importance of trends. This is because trends that involve a specific day of the week – like a team going 10-2 on Wednesdays - doesn’t have the same impact as an NFL trend relating to Thursday or Monday night games – as those games involve teams playing with an unusual amount of rest in between games.

Stay away from is a trend that has only a few occurrences with a record that goes back several years. With the amount of roster turnover that happens every season, these MLB betting trends are based on games where many of the current players weren’t a part of.

A good baseball betting system will include Sports Betting trends that we do like are ones that pertain to certain situations. For example, finding a betting trend that pertains to a team coming off a loss or two straight losses, or against left-handed starting pitchers. These are specific in-game motivational or matchup situations that MLB handicappers would want to find out information about.

MLB betting trends that relate to pitchers (often in the form of team start records) are much more reliable. Especially in comparison to team-based betting trends, as it pertains to the most important position on the field. Having specific betting trends related to the starting pitcher against the current opponent is a fantastic place to start your handicapping your baseball betting pick on the game.

Of course, win/loss records associated to betting trends must be taken with a grain of salt. If a team is 20-20 as an underdog of +150 or higher, and another team is 30-20 as a favorite of -150 or higher, then the underdog trend is resulting in a big profit while the favorite trend is actually losing money.

For baseball Betting fans, the same rule applies as baseball betting trends are universal no matter what baseball sportsbook you use.


Tuesday, October 1, 2024

How to Bet Correlated Parlays

For those that like to bet on sports, correlated parlays are the ideal betting concept. This is because they typically have a positive long-term outlook. Therefore, if you consistently placed these bets, you would guarantee a profit. Thus, this sports betting tutorial will teach you How to Bet Correlated Parlays to increase your betting profits.

According to gambling experts, correlated parlays are like a machine that always prints money. However, finding and betting on these parlays is very challenging. Usually, anything that seems too good to be true is. This is because sportsbooks are a lot smarter these days and always look for anything that will decrease their profits. It’s the evolution of sports betting.

Let's first define what we're talking about. What is a correlated parlay and how do we bet correlated parlays?

What Is a Correlated Parlay?

As a sports bettor, we should understand that a parlay is a group of bets wagered as a single bet. Each of the individual bets must win in order for the parlay to win.

The idea behind a correlated parlay is to group bets that go together. If one of the things happens, then the other is likely to occur. An example better explains this concept.

Take an NBA basketball game, for example. Let’s say you have Celtics favored over the hawks. The Celtics are a 15-point favorite. The game total is set at 40. This doesn’t happen often, which is one reason why basketball betting is so hard.

If you are betting on the Celtics to cover at a bookie pay per head sportsbook, it would make sense that the game total goes Over. There is a better than average chance if Hawks covers the pointspread they are going to score a bunch of points in the process.

A smart bettor could parlay the two bets - Celtics -15, Over 40 - and win a higher profit than if the two were wagered separately. That’s how you bet correlated parlays.

Bet Correlated Parlays for Long-Term Profits

To bet correlated parlays and ensure long-term profits, you have to understand some basic math. Otherwise, there is a good chance that you will lose your wager. Thus, it is understandable as to why bookies would have parlays available in their basic sportsbook software.

Bookie Pay Per Head Service

There are four possible outcomes when you wager on a two-event parlay.

·         Win both

·         Lose first, Win second

·         Lose second, Win first

·         Lose both

The probability of winning the parlay is 25 percent (1 in 4). If the sports betting odds on either side of a point spread bet are set properly, there should be an even chance of a win or loss. That means each outcome here has a 25 percent probability.

Accordingly, to show a profit here you would need to get odds of +300 (3/1) or better to break even. Two-team parlays usually payout at +260 (2.6/1) and are usually not a great bet because you lose money in the long-term.

The change in odds with Correlated Parlays

However, when you bet correlated parlays, the percentages change. Let’s say in our Celtics versus Hawks example there is still an even chance of ending up on either side of the spread. However, if the favorite covers, the total is much more likely to go Over.

The Celtics would have to cover by 16 points. There aren’t that many scores where Celtics win by 16 and the total goes Under. As a result, we might find that there is an 80 percent chance the game total goes Over. Make sure you have a top-tier sportsbook to find the best lines.

Overall, this would mean that there is a 40 percent chance that the game will go Over and the favorite will cover. That means that 40 percent of the time you parlay the favorite and the over you are going to win.

If you made a $100 parlay bet 10 times, you would expect to win four of them. The total profit on those wins would be $1040 ($260 x 4). The six losses would cost you a total of $600. That means your profit would be $440.

Wednesday, September 25, 2024

BetPhoenix.ag Sportsbook Review

BetPhoenix.ag is a popular sportsbook that has been in business since 2006. In addition, they are best known for catering to the North American sports betting market.  They have extensive experience in the global gambling industry because they offer their services in several languages.  My BetPhoenix.ag Betting Review will go into details about the advantages and disadvantages using their gambling services.

Even though they offer generous bonuses, players feel safe betting on sports with them because of their strong financial backing. Furthermore, they also have a wide array of seasonal contests and promotions ranging from sports betting to casinos. As an offshore sportsbook, several sportsbook reviews consider them to be one of the best in the industry.

This sports betting company is in San Jose, Costa Rica and is the flagship company of BetPhoenix Entertainment.  Thus, they have several other sports betting brands which include BetMania.ag, SkyBook.eu and BetLatina.com.

Bet Phoenix General Information

BetPhoenix.ag Information:

  • Inception: 2006
  • Country: Costa Rica
  • Restrictions: Costa Rica, UK
  • Live Chat: yes
  • Email: memberservices@betphoenix.ag
  • Telephone: 1-877-717-7747
  • Website: betphoenix.ag
  • Korean Players Accepted: yes
  • Regular Bonus: 200% Bonus

BetPhoenix.ag Advantages

  • Sports betting on all major sports
  • Digital casino
  •  Live Dealer Casino
  • Live Betting
  • Mobile Betting
  • 25% referral bonus
  • Free payouts
  • Seasonal contests
  • Online poker room



BetPhoenix.ag Sportsbook Review

BetPhoenix.ag has the typical North American style template with big bold letters that advertises their latest promotion. Opening a betting account with them is fairly fast and easy because they only ask for the necessary information. One of the biggest attractions for using this sports betting company are their bonuses.  This is because you can get up to a 175% free play bonuses or choose a 100% cash bonuses.

One of the advantages of using the BetPhoenix.ag Sports Betting website is that they offer several banking options. The available deposit options include: person-to-person, Credit Cards, Bitcoin, LiteCoin and MGPAY.

The player betting interface is simple enough to use and the sports betting software is very interactive.  However, Korean bettors will probably not be comfortable with it until they get familiar with the interface.  This is because the interface is not available in Korean and the setup is different from other Asian betting websites.

Furthermore, they have many betting options and you can bet on most sports leagues from around the world. Keep in mind that if you are a casino player, the digital casino is not very good as it does not have many games.  However, the live dealer casino is pretty good and has no lag.

BetPhoenix.ag Recommendation

In terms of all around sports betting website they are an excellent choice. This is because they have excellent sports betting odds from all over the world. Bettors that like to receive a little extra will love their bonuses and contests.

Bet on Sports Today with BetPhoenix.ag and get up to 175% in Free Play!

Monday, September 16, 2024

Winning Betting strategies

 

Sports betting is a hobby that many people enjoy to make the game more fun and exciting. However, some bettors tend to do better than others when it comes to making a profit from it. For those who constantly see their friends win their bets while you lose yours, this article is for you. In this sports betting tutorial, we teach you the most Profitable Winning Betting Strategies to increase your betting win ratio.

Making money wagering on sports is not easy, but it can be done. The proof is that thousands of professional gamblers make a living from it doing just that. However, like anything else in life, being successful at sports betting takes some time and effort. In addition, it also helps to have a plan and a strategy.

Most Profitable Winning Betting Strategies

Successful gamblers use winning betting strategies as part of their plan to make a profit. Whether you are a beginner or have experience as a sports gambler, you can benefit from winning betting strategies.

Do Your Research


Gamblers cannot bet on sports at random and expect to win. Professional gamblers all do a lot of research before placing a wager. For example, If a star player is on the injury list, it will probably have an effect on the outcome of a game. Therefore, it is in your best interest to be constantly reading the latest sports news and statistics.

However, that is just the beginning. The more research you do, the bigger your chance of winning. Therefore, you should also study different trends, analyze past games and come up with a sound betting decision. Make sure there is value in a pick before you make it. If there is no value, don’t make the wager.

In addition, be careful when live betting. There is a reason why sportsbooks have a huge number of live betting options. In fact, even pay per head companies compete with each other for boasting the most numbers of live wagers. However, be careful as they can be sucker bets and drain your bankroll in a hurry.

Manage Correctly Your Betting bankroll

While this may be obvious, do not gamble with money you cannot afford to lose. We are talking about gambling with your rent money, grocery money and such. Instead, set aside an amount of money you can afford to lost and stick to it.

A solid money management strategy is to wager 1 to 5 percent of your bankroll and no more. That means that if your have a $1,000 bankroll, all of your bets will range from $10 to $50.

Even when you are certain about a certain wager and want to risk more, do not do it. You stick to the strategy. Your max bet is $50. When you are less confident on a bet, your minimum amount is $10.

One of the worst things you can do is to chase your losses by betting more after losing a bet. Your bankroll will be gone before you know. Stick to a sound money management strategy.

Look for the Best Betting odds

In essence, the easiest betting strategy is to look for the best betting odds. If you like a bet and can find it at a better price, why not take it?

Maybe you like the San Francisco 49ers at  -112. Another top sportsbook has the same moneyline bet at -106. Instead of paying $112 to win $100, you only need to lay out $106.

If you are betting the point spread, just a half-point can make a big difference. If you take the SK Knights -2, it would be a bonus if you were able to find them at -1.5. Now a one-point margin of victory guarantees a win instead of a push.

Over the course of an entire season, shopping for the best lines can make a big difference in both a bettor’s winning percentage and his bankroll. Winning sports bettors employ this strategy.

Open a Sportsbook with PricePerPlayer.com for $5 or Less per player

Bookie Pay Per Head Service


Thursday, September 12, 2024

Bills vs Dolphins NFL Betting Pick and Prediction for 9/12/2024

 

Tonight’s NFL Thursday game will be a fun one to watch as the Dolphins host the Bills at the Hard Rock Stadium. There is a lot of money on Miami as they will have the home advantage but the Bills are no pushover. Therefore, which team will win this AFC East showdown? Here is my take on it with my Bills vs Dolphins NFL Betting Pick and analysis.


According to NFL sportsbooks, the Buffalo Bills took a hit after the departure of wide receiver Stefon Diggs during the offseason. Thus, they are now implementing a committee strategy to maintain their status as one of the premier offenses in the league.

Last Sunday, they came back from a deficit after scoring 14 consecutive points after halftime.  Thus, securing a 34-28 victory at home against the Arizona Cardinals.

In this match, All-Pro quarterback Josh Allen demonstrated remarkable efficiency, completing 18 of 23 passes for 232 yards and two touchdowns. This is in addition o contributing 39 rushing yards and two additional touchdowns. Rookie wide receiver Keon Coleman led the team with 51 receiving yards on four catches, as the Bills outperformed the Cardinals with a total yardage of 352 to 270.

Last season, the Miami Dolphins topped the league in total offense but faced disappointment in a 26-7 Wild Card defeat against Kansas City. In their season opener, however, Miami's defense excelled, achieving a shutout in the second half of a 20-17 victory at home against Jacksonville. The Dolphins successfully converted 8 of 16 third down opportunities and amassed 400 total offensive yards.

All-Pro wide receiver Tyreek Hill was a standout performer, recording seven receptions for 130 yards, including an 80-yard touchdown that narrowed Miami's deficit to 17-14. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa effectively dismantled the Jacksonville secondary, throwing for 338 yards. Jason Sanders capped off the game with a 52-yard field goal as time expired, securing the win for the Dolphins.

Why the Buffalo Bills Will Win

According to bookie pay per head software, the performance of Buffalo's ATS has been less than impressive in their latest games. At the moment, they have a negative percentage of 5-11 over 16 contests. However, they have excelled in crucial matchups, boasting a remarkable 7-1 record in these situations.

Their recent games have showcased significant offensive activity, with five of the last six encounters resulting in totals that have exceeded expectations, likely appealing to those who engage in over/under betting.

The visiting team has emerged victorious in the last seven Week 2 contests involving the Dolphins. Furthermore, the Dolphins have suffered defeats in seven of their previous eight Week 2 home matches.

Additionally, they have not managed to cover the spread in their last four games. Notably, the visiting team has successfully covered the spread in six out of the last seven Week 2 games featuring the Dolphins.

Why the Miami Dolphins Will Win

Miami's betting patterns reveal certain weaknesses, notably their 1-4 record against the spread in the past five games. Nevertheless, their home performance remains a significant factor. The total has fallen UNDER in five of their last six contests, suggesting a robust defensive effort at their home venue, which may be crucial in this upcoming matchup.

The Dolphins have achieved victory in their last ten matches as home favorites against teams from the AFC East. Conversely, the Bills have suffered defeats in three out of their last four encounters in Florida. Additionally, the Dolphins have successfully covered the spread in seven of their previous eight games as home favorites against AFC East rivals. In contrast, the Bills have not managed to cover the spread in four of their last five games played at Hard Rock Stadium after securing a win at home.

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Game Info

·         Date and Time: 09/12/2024 at 8:15 PM ET

·         Location: Hard Rock Stadium

·         Watch on: MARQ, Bally Sports

Bills vs Dolphins NFL Betting odds

Team

Pointspread

Total

MoneyLine

Buffalo Bills

 +2.5 (+105)

 O48.5 (-110)

+120

Miami Dolphins

 -2.5 (-115)

 U48.5 (-110)

-142

 

Thursday Night Football NFL Preseason Pick Betting Pick

Bet on the Buffalo Bills at +2.5

For those thinking of Opening an NFL sportsbook, this could be a good opportunity to go against the spread. This is because the public opinion is in favor of the Dolphins despite what the statistics say.

Miami linebacker Bradley Chubb, who is dealing with a knee injury, has been assigned to the reserve/PUP list and will not be able to return until October 6th. Last season, the Dolphins finished sixth in the league for rushing yards; however, they only accumulated 81 rushing yards in their season opener. Therefore, the Bills will take the win and cover the spread with a final score of 27-20.

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